Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.171527 0.206701 0.244540 0.287983 0.336194 0.387786 0.446897
2025-03-16 0.118153 0.163540 0.216511 0.281682 0.358525 0.445159 0.549123
2025-03-23 0.091254 0.143913 0.210045 0.296251 0.402859 0.527814 0.682802
2025-03-30 0.066127 0.120551 0.194422 0.296387 0.428238 0.588268 0.792519
2025-04-06 0.048258 0.102469 0.182001 0.297804 0.453604 0.648415 0.903018
2025-04-13 0.036653 0.090547 0.175623 0.305488 0.486150 0.717613 1.025876
2025-04-20 0.028388 0.081676 0.171899 0.315610 0.521413 0.790544 1.154597
2025-04-27 0.021693 0.073482 0.167632 0.323846 0.553635 0.859743 1.279570
2025-05-04 0.015175 0.063094 0.157827 0.322291 0.571257 0.909379 1.379734
2025-05-11 0.011156 0.056578 0.153445 0.328228 0.599133 0.972810 1.498490
2025-05-18 0.007345 0.048396 0.144404 0.325464 0.613527 1.017619 1.592944
2025-05-25 0.003930 0.038369 0.129525 0.311153 0.609295 1.035826 1.651520
2025-06-01 0.002462 0.033940 0.125584 0.315520 0.634094 1.095946 1.768763
2025-06-08 0.001123 0.027554 0.115678 0.308104 0.639882 1.128944 1.849528
2025-06-15 0.000749 0.026326 0.117905 0.323112 0.681650 1.214330 2.003355
2025-06-22 0.000297 0.022490 0.112494 0.323002 0.698772 1.264095 2.108520
2025-06-29 0.000087 0.019380 0.108132 0.324354 0.718036 1.317082 2.218646
2025-07-06 0.000021 0.017623 0.107213 0.332390 0.748463 1.386895 2.353022
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.016401 0.107616 0.343032 0.783393 1.463763 2.497987
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015030 0.107144 0.351698 0.815061 1.536095 2.637214
2025-07-27 NaN 0.012589 0.102102 0.350038 0.828717 1.581301 2.738255
2025-08-03 NaN 0.011283 0.100770 0.356294 0.856156 1.647671 2.870032
2025-08-10 NaN 0.009244 0.095601 0.353370 0.867144 1.688875 2.965987